Democrat Adelita Grijalva Wins Arizona Special Election: A Narrowing Blow to GOP House Majority

The win, cementing her as Arizona’s first Latina congresswoman, narrows the Republican House majority to a precarious two seats
Adelita Grijalva campaigning in Arizona
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Democrat’s Arizona Win Slaps GOP, Fuels Trump Tensions

Adelita Grijalva, a Democrat, won a special election for Arizona’s 7th Congressional District on September 23, 2025. She took over from her late father, Rep. Raúl Grijalva, who died on March 13, 2025, from complications of cancer treatment. This victory shrinks the Republican House majority to just two seats (219-216, with one vacancy remaining). It’s a gut punch to the GOP, especially as they flounder in a government shutdown. Grijalva, Arizona’s first Latina congresswoman, is already stirring controversy by vowing to challenge President Trump’s agenda. Some say her win exposes GOP weakness and could spark a Democratic surge.

A Family Seat Stays Blue

Arizona’s Democratic governor, Katie Hobbs, called the special election after Raúl Grijalva’s death. Adelita Grijalva, a former Pima County supervisor, Tucson school board leader, and advocate for workers’ rights, ran unopposed in her party’s July 15 primary. She carried her father’s progressive torch, pushing for healthcare access, green policies, environmental justice, and immigrant rights.

Her opponent, Republican Daniel Butierez, a local businessman and painting contractor, was crushed in this deep-blue district, where Kamala Harris beat Trump by more than 22 points in 2024. Grijalva won with nearly 70% of the vote, per Arizona’s election office and media reports. Now in Congress—once sworn in—she’s making waves in a House where Republicans can barely hold it together, especially amid delays in her swearing-in.

Why Republicans Are Fuming

This loss stings the GOP deeply. Their razor-thin House majority is crumbling, and Grijalva’s win exacerbates it. Democrats have racked up special election victories in 2025, including flips in Iowa and Pennsylvania—even in Trump-friendly areas—signaling voter frustration with GOP chaos, particularly the ongoing government shutdown.

Grijalva is ready to stir the pot. She has committed to signing a discharge petition to force a House vote on releasing Jeffrey Epstein’s files—a bipartisan effort led by Reps. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) and Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) that now has the required 218 signatures with her support. The move could embarrass Trump over his past ties to the disgraced financier. In her Tucson victory speech, she declared, “I’m here to hold Trump accountable.” That’s got Republicans nervous, with X users speculating that Trump’s team is sweating what the files might reveal. Reports suggest Speaker Mike Johnson is delaying her swearing-in—potentially until mid-October—to avoid tipping the petition over the edge, leaving the district unrepresented.

The shutdown, now on day two as of October 2, makes the GOP’s grip even shakier. With just a two-seat edge, a few rebels could derail Trump’s priorities, like cuts to Medicaid. Political insiders warn these losses foreshadow a tough 2026 for Republicans, as voters reject Trump’s divisive tactics.